Dynasty player profile
Zach Ertz
TE · FA
The risk signal is elevated: AI model spread is 34.
- Dynasty
- #366
- TE
- #62
- Value
- 150
- AI Consensus
- 283
Dynasty Spec
Player Summary
Zach Ertz is a FA TE (age 35) with Dynasty Spec rank #366 and TE rank #62. The AI consensus rank #366 with score 283, High Disagreement, and weekly movement unavailable point to a volatile dynasty profile. The risk signal is elevated: AI model spread is 34.
Market Movement
What changed
- 7-Day Rank
- N/A
- 7-Day Value
- N/A
- Trend
- Volatile
Comparable Players
Same market tier
Weekly outlook
Weekly projection & stats
Production
Season statistics
| Season | GP | PPR | FPPG | Targets | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | YPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 177.4 | 10.4 | 91 | 66 | 654 | 7 | 9.9 |
| 2023 | 7 | 51.7 | 7.4 | 43 | 27 | 187 | 1 | 6.9 |
| 2022 | 10 | 115.6 | 11.6 | 69 | 47 | 406 | 4 | 8.6 |
| 2021 | 17 | 180.7 | 10.6 | 112 | 74 | 763 | 5 | 10.3 |
| 2020 | 11 | 77.5 | 7.1 | 72 | 36 | 335 | 1 | 9.3 |
| 2019 | 15 | 215.6 | 14.4 | 135 | 88 | 916 | 6 | 10.4 |
| 2018 | 16 | 280.3 | 17.5 | 156 | 116 | 1,163 | 8 | 10.0 |
| Career | 93 | 1,098.8 | 11.8 | 678 | 454 | 4,424 | 32 | 9.7 |
Forward View
2026 Projection
| Season | PPR | FPPG | Targets | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 149.0 | 10.2 | 75 | 53 | 493 | 6 |
Based on weighted production from 2024, 2023, 2022 with TE age 34+ career years 6-8 starter curve applied from usable 11-sample trend.
Model rank spread: 34. Open a model to read its full rationale.
ChatGPTRank#354Score301
Tier: Watch List
Dynasty Oracle v5.0: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 404, rebuild 265.
GeminiRank#388Score274
Tier: Watch List
Apex Sovereign 12: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 386, rebuild 256. Apex Sovereign earns TE premium through target role and VORP instead of a blanket multiplier; thin liquidity.
ClaudeRank#356Score275
Tier: Watch List
Claude Helix v5.0 contextual/upside lens: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 387, rebuild 256.
AI Engine Disagreement Summary
Zach Ertz's AI engine range is 34 spots. Treat Zach Ertz as a negotiation checkpoint: if your league prices the low engine outcome, explore buying; if it prices the high engine outcome, ask for a premium before holding through uncertainty.
- Current Value
- 150
- 1QB Value
- 150
- Superflex Value
- 143
- Market Value
- not available
- 7-Day Value
- N/A
- 7-Day Rank
- N/A
Contender Fit
Zach Ertz is a contender fit when the acquisition cost stays near 150 and does not require moving a more stable weekly starter.
Rebuilder Fit
Zach Ertz can fit rebuilders at fair cost, but the decision should be tied to timeline because the current profile is labeled Sell.
Risk Factors
Zach Ertz's main risk factors: AI rank spread is 34.
Upside Case
Zach Ertz's upside case is that the high engine rank (#354) is closer to the truth than consensus #366, pushing the market toward the top of the current value tier.
Floor Case
Zach Ertz's floor case is that the low engine rank (#388) catches a role, age, or liquidity risk that consensus is not fully pricing yet.
Trade Value Analysis
Zach Ertz's fair-market baseline is 150 with Superflex value 143 and 1QB value 150. Use the trade calculator when a package adds picks or multiple players because consolidation changes the value gap.
Ranking Trend History
Zach Ertz is currently #366 after being unranked in the previous weekly snapshot. Tracking begins after two ranking snapshots.