ChatGPT Oracle
- Rank
- #168
- Score
- 436
- Tier
- Depth
Dynasty Oracle v5.0: upside/volatile; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 535, rebuild 269.
MIN RB
Dynasty Player Profile
Aaron Jones
MIN · RBAge 315'10"208 lbs9 NFL seasonsUTEPRB1
Aaron Jones is a MIN RB (age 31) with Dynasty Spec rank #174 and RB rank #50. The AI consensus rank #174 with score 406, High Disagreement, and down 20 spots this week point to a falling dynasty profile. Market-adjusted profile balances shorter dynasty runway, role security, and recent production signal.
Recommendation
Sell
The risk signal is elevated: RB age curve pressure.
- Age
- 31
- Dynasty Rank
- #174
- RB Rank
- #50
- Trade Value
- 355
- Superflex Value
- 337
- 1QB Value
- 355
- Consensus Score
- 406
- Value Trend
- Falling
- 7-Day Rank
- -20 spots
- 7-Day Value
- -60 pts
AI Engine Scores
Gemini Apex
- Rank
- #163
- Score
- 430
- Tier
- Depth
Apex Sovereign 12: upside/volatile; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 531, rebuild 267. Apex Sovereign separates RB replacement scarcity from age and role risk; thin liquidity.
Claude Helix
- Rank
- #229
- Score
- 353
- Tier
- Watch List
Claude Helix v5.0 contextual/upside lens: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 480, rebuild 241.
Consensus rank #174 with High Disagreement and rank spread 66.
Outlook & Market Movement
Aaron Jones's team context is MIN at RB. Depth chart: RB1. Roster status: Active. Latest imported season: 2025, 118.68 PPR points and 9.89 fantasy points per game. Projection snapshot: 2026 163.92 projected PPR points.
Production
Career Stats
PPR scoring · newest season first
| Season | GP | PPR | FPPG | Carries | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 118.7 | 9.9 | — | 548 | 2 | — | — | 199 | 1 |
| 2024 | 17 | 241.6 | 14.2 | 255 | 1,138 | 5 | 62 | 51 | 408 | 2 |
| 2023 | 11 | 134.9 | 12.3 | 142 | 656 | 2 | 43 | 30 | 233 | 1 |
| 2022 | 17 | 248.6 | 14.6 | 213 | 1,121 | 2 | 72 | 59 | 395 | 5 |
| 2021 | 15 | 229.0 | 15.3 | 171 | 799 | 4 | 65 | 52 | 391 | 6 |
| 2020 | 14 | 258.9 | 18.5 | 201 | 1,104 | 9 | 63 | 47 | 355 | 2 |
| 2019 | 16 | 314.8 | 19.7 | 236 | 1,084 | 16 | 68 | 49 | 474 | 3 |
| 2018 | 12 | 171.4 | 14.3 | 133 | 728 | 8 | 35 | 26 | 206 | 1 |
| Career | 114 | 1,717.9 | 15.1 | 1,351 | 7,178 | 48 | 408 | 314 | 2,661 | 21 |
Forward View
2026 Projection
PPR · Medium confidence
| Season | PPR | FPPG | Carries | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 163.9 | 11.2 | 232 | 752 | 3 | 52 | 41 | 239 | 1 |
Based on weighted production from 2025, 2024, 2023 with RB age 29-31 career years 6-8 starter curve applied from usable 10-sample trend.
Dynasty Authority Report
Dynasty Outlook, Trade Fit & Risk
Data-backed player notes from ranking value, AI engine spread, trade value, age, team, and recent movement.
Dynasty Outlook
Aaron Jones sits #174 overall and #50 at RB with a Dynasty Spec trade value of 355. The current recommendation is Sell, driven by the risk signal is elevated: rb age curve pressure.
- Dynasty Rank
- #174
- Trade Value
- 355
Short-Term Outlook
Aaron Jones's near-term profile is tied to MIN usage at RB. The latest imported season shows 9.89 PPR points per game. Current movement is down 20 spots this week.
- Team
- MIN
- Recent Movement
- Down 20 spots this week
Long-Term Outlook
Aaron Jones's long-term value combines age 31, position scarcity, and AI consensus score 406. The long-term case needs near-term production because running back age curve pressure is already part of the valuation.
- Age
- 31
- Consensus Score
- 406
Contender Fit
Aaron Jones fits contenders better than rebuilders because RB production windows can be shorter, and the current value is best converted into lineup points or a premium offer.
- 1QB Value
- 355
- Superflex Value
- 337
Rebuilder Fit
Aaron Jones is a thinner rebuilder fit; Dynasty Spec would compare offers against younger players or future firsts before assuming the value will hold.
- Value Trend
- Falling
- Position Rank
- #50
Trade Value Analysis
Aaron Jones's fair-market baseline is 355 with Superflex value 337 and 1QB value 355. Use the trade calculator when a package adds picks or multiple players because consolidation changes the value gap.
- Trade Value
- 355
- Market Value
- 2,209
Risk Factors
Aaron Jones's main risk factors: AI rank spread is 66; RB age curve pressure is present; recent movement is down 20 spots.
- AI Spread
- 66
- Agreement
- High Disagreement
Upside Case
Aaron Jones's upside case is that the high engine rank (#163) is closer to the truth than consensus #174, pushing the market toward the top of the current value tier.
- Best Engine Rank
- #163
- Consensus
- #174
Floor Case
Aaron Jones's floor case is that the low engine rank (#229) catches a role, age, or liquidity risk that consensus is not fully pricing yet.
- Worst Engine Rank
- #229
- Trend
- Falling
AI Engine Disagreement Summary
Aaron Jones's AI engine range is 66 spots. Treat Aaron Jones as a negotiation checkpoint: if your league prices the low engine outcome, explore buying; if it prices the high engine outcome, ask for a premium before holding through uncertainty.
- ChatGPT
- #168
- Gemini
- #163
- Claude
- #229
Ranking Trend History
Aaron Jones is currently #174 after being #154 in the previous weekly snapshot. That is a 20-spot drop.
- Current Rank
- #174
- Previous Rank
- #154
- Value Change
- -60
Comparable Players
Related Trade Targets
Trade Calculator
Price Aaron Jones before making an offer
Use Aaron Jones's Dynasty Spec value, format setting, and package size before adding picks or changing tiers.
FAQs
What is Aaron Jones's dynasty value?
Aaron Jones carries a Dynasty Spec trade value of 355, with a Superflex value of 337 and a 1QB value of 355.
Should I trade for Aaron Jones in dynasty?
Only at a discount; Dynasty Spec leans sell at current cost. The risk signal is elevated: RB age curve pressure.
Is Aaron Jones a buy or sell?
Aaron Jones is labeled Sell because the current profile combines down 20 spots this week, High Disagreement, and position rank #50.
What is Aaron Jones worth in Superflex?
Aaron Jones's Superflex value is 337. That places him at #174 overall and #50 among RBs in the Dynasty Spec board.
How does Aaron Jones compare to similar players?
Aaron Jones is closest in Dynasty Spec value to Will Shipley, who is also a RB with a trade value of 167. Use the comparison page for the side-by-side gap.