ChatGPT Oracle
- Rank
- #125
- Score
- 487
- Tier
- Depth
Dynasty Oracle v5.0: upside/volatile; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 589, rebuild 571.
SEA QB
Dynasty Player Profile
Sam Darnold
SEA · QBAge 296'3"225 lbs8 NFL seasonsUSCQB1
Sam Darnold is a SEA QB (age 29) with Dynasty Spec rank #129 and QB rank #22. The AI consensus rank #129 with score 475, High Disagreement, and up 21 spots this week point to a rising dynasty profile. Market-adjusted profile balances prime age window, role security, and recent production signal.
Recommendation
Buy
The value signal is positive: recent rank movement is up 21 spots and model spread is 43.
- Age
- 29
- Dynasty Rank
- #129
- QB Rank
- #22
- Trade Value
- 392
- Superflex Value
- 557
- 1QB Value
- 392
- Consensus Score
- 475
- Value Trend
- Rising
- 7-Day Rank
- +21 spots
- 7-Day Value
- -24 pts
AI Engine Scores
Gemini Apex
- Rank
- #157
- Score
- 445
- Tier
- Depth
Apex Sovereign 12: upside/volatile; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 561, rebuild 557. Apex Sovereign uses passing, mistake, rushing, role-security, market, and VORP evidence; thin liquidity.
Claude Helix
- Rank
- #114
- Score
- 494
- Tier
- Flex Plus
Claude Helix v5.0 contextual/upside lens: upside/volatile; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 594, rebuild 574.
Consensus rank #129 with High Disagreement and rank spread 43.
Outlook & Market Movement
Sam Darnold's team context is SEA at QB. Depth chart: QB1. Roster status: Active. Latest imported season: 2025, 249.39 PPR points and 14.67 fantasy points per game. Projection snapshot: 2026 267.47 projected PPR points.
Production
Career Stats
PPR scoring · newest season first
| Season | GP | PPR | FPPG | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 249.4 | 14.7 | 4,048 | 25 | 14 | 95 | 0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 308.0 | 18.1 | 4,319 | 35 | 12 | 212 | 1 |
| 2023 | 10 | 23.4 | 2.3 | 297 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| 2022 | 6 | 86.3 | 14.4 | 1,143 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 2 |
| 2021 | 12 | 157.3 | 13.1 | 2,527 | 9 | 13 | 222 | 5 |
| 2020 | 12 | 134.0 | 11.2 | 2,208 | 9 | 11 | 217 | 2 |
| 2019 | 13 | 189.2 | 14.6 | 3,024 | 19 | 13 | 62 | 2 |
| 2018 | 13 | 168.4 | 13.0 | 2,865 | 17 | 15 | 138 | 1 |
| Career | 100 | 1,315.9 | 13.2 | 20,431 | 123 | 82 | 1,067 | 14 |
Forward View
2026 Projection
PPR · High confidence
| Season | PPR | FPPG | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 267.5 | 15.8 | 3,683 | 29 | 12 | 113 | 0 |
Based on weighted production from 2025, 2024, 2023 with QB age 25-29 career years 6-8 fringe curve applied from strong 34-sample trend.
Dynasty Authority Report
Dynasty Outlook, Trade Fit & Risk
Data-backed player notes from ranking value, AI engine spread, trade value, age, team, and recent movement.
Dynasty Outlook
Sam Darnold sits #129 overall and #22 at QB with a Dynasty Spec trade value of 392. The current recommendation is Buy, driven by the value signal is positive: recent rank movement is up 21 spots and model spread is 43.
- Dynasty Rank
- #129
- Trade Value
- 392
Short-Term Outlook
Sam Darnold's near-term profile is tied to SEA usage at QB. The latest imported season shows 14.67 PPR points per game. Current movement is up 21 spots this week.
- Team
- SEA
- Recent Movement
- Up 21 spots this week
Long-Term Outlook
Sam Darnold's long-term value combines age 29, position scarcity, and AI consensus score 475. The long-term case is best judged against similar-value players because the current value is close to the broader market tier.
- Age
- 29
- Consensus Score
- 475
Contender Fit
Sam Darnold is a contender fit when the acquisition cost stays near 392 and does not require moving a more stable weekly starter.
- 1QB Value
- 392
- Superflex Value
- 557
Rebuilder Fit
Sam Darnold can fit rebuilders at fair cost, but the decision should be tied to timeline because the current profile is labeled Buy.
- Value Trend
- Rising
- Position Rank
- #22
Trade Value Analysis
Sam Darnold's fair-market baseline is 392 with Superflex value 557 and 1QB value 392. Use the trade calculator when a package adds picks or multiple players because consolidation changes the value gap.
- Trade Value
- 392
- Market Value
- 3,715
Risk Factors
Sam Darnold's main risk factors: AI rank spread is 43.
- AI Spread
- 43
- Agreement
- High Disagreement
Upside Case
Sam Darnold's upside case is that the high engine rank (#114) is closer to the truth than consensus #129, pushing the market toward the top of the current value tier.
- Best Engine Rank
- #114
- Consensus
- #129
Floor Case
Sam Darnold's floor case is that the low engine rank (#157) catches a role, age, or liquidity risk that consensus is not fully pricing yet.
- Worst Engine Rank
- #157
- Trend
- Rising
AI Engine Disagreement Summary
Sam Darnold's AI engine range is 43 spots. Treat Sam Darnold as a negotiation checkpoint: if your league prices the low engine outcome, explore buying; if it prices the high engine outcome, ask for a premium before holding through uncertainty.
- ChatGPT
- #125
- Gemini
- #157
- Claude
- #114
Ranking Trend History
Sam Darnold is currently #129 after being #150 in the previous weekly snapshot. That is a 21-spot rise.
- Current Rank
- #129
- Previous Rank
- #150
- Value Change
- -24
Comparable Players
Related Trade Targets
Trade Calculator
Price Sam Darnold before making an offer
Use Sam Darnold's Dynasty Spec value, format setting, and package size before adding picks or changing tiers.
FAQs
What is Sam Darnold's dynasty value?
Sam Darnold carries a Dynasty Spec trade value of 392, with a Superflex value of 557 and a 1QB value of 392.
Should I trade for Sam Darnold in dynasty?
Yes, if the price is close to market. The value signal is positive: recent rank movement is up 21 spots and model spread is 43.
Is Sam Darnold a buy or sell?
Sam Darnold is labeled Buy because the current profile combines up 21 spots this week, High Disagreement, and position rank #22.
What is Sam Darnold worth in Superflex?
Sam Darnold's Superflex value is 557. That places him at #129 overall and #22 among QBs in the Dynasty Spec board.
How does Sam Darnold compare to similar players?
Sam Darnold is closest in Dynasty Spec value to Matthew Stafford, who is also a QB with a trade value of 475. Use the comparison page for the side-by-side gap.