ChatGPT Oracle
- Rank
- #221
- Score
- 379
- Tier
- Watch List
Dynasty Oracle v5.0: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 483, rebuild 366.
NYJ QB
Dynasty Player Profile
Geno Smith
NYJ · QBAge 356'2"221 lbs13 NFL seasonsWest VirginiaQB1
Geno Smith is a NYJ QB (age 35) with Dynasty Spec rank #221 and QB rank #33. The AI consensus rank #221 with score 372, High Disagreement, and up 1 spots this week point to a volatile dynasty profile. Market-adjusted profile balances shorter dynasty runway, role security, and recent production signal.
Recommendation
Sell
The risk signal is elevated: AI model spread is 80.
- Age
- 35
- Dynasty Rank
- #221
- QB Rank
- #33
- Trade Value
- 256
- Superflex Value
- 388
- 1QB Value
- 256
- Consensus Score
- 372
- Value Trend
- Volatile
- 7-Day Rank
- +1 spots
- 7-Day Value
- -3 pts
AI Engine Scores
Gemini Apex
- Rank
- #261
- Score
- 339
- Tier
- Watch List
Apex Sovereign 12: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 457, rebuild 353. Apex Sovereign uses passing, mistake, rushing, role-security, market, and VORP evidence; thin liquidity.
Claude Helix
- Rank
- #181
- Score
- 398
- Tier
- Watch List
Claude Helix v5.0 contextual/upside lens: watch-list; ranked from role, age curve, production, market, and risk; contender 496, rebuild 373.
Consensus rank #221 with High Disagreement and rank spread 80.
Outlook & Market Movement
Geno Smith's team context is NYJ at QB. Depth chart: QB1. Roster status: Active. Latest imported season: 2025, 190.95 PPR points and 12.73 fantasy points per game. Projection snapshot: 2026 252.3 projected PPR points.
Production
Career Stats
PPR scoring · newest season first
| Season | GP | PPR | FPPG | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 191.0 | 12.7 | 3,025 | 19 | 17 | 109 | 0 |
| 2024 | 17 | 266.0 | 15.7 | 4,320 | 21 | 15 | 272 | 2 |
| 2023 | 15 | 227.3 | 15.2 | 3,624 | 20 | 9 | 155 | 1 |
| 2022 | 17 | 303.9 | 17.9 | 4,282 | 30 | 11 | 366 | 1 |
| 2021 | 4 | 54.3 | 13.6 | 702 | 5 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 2018 | 4 | -1.5 | -0.4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Career | 73 | 1,042.0 | 14.3 | 15,994 | 95 | 53 | 944 | 5 |
Forward View
2026 Projection
PPR · High confidence
| Season | PPR | FPPG | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 252.3 | 15.7 | 3,731 | 24 | 17 | 157 | 1 |
Based on weighted production from 2025, 2024, 2023 with QB age 35+ career years 6-8 fringe curve applied from strong 73-sample trend.
Dynasty Authority Report
Dynasty Outlook, Trade Fit & Risk
Data-backed player notes from ranking value, AI engine spread, trade value, age, team, and recent movement.
Dynasty Outlook
Geno Smith sits #221 overall and #33 at QB with a Dynasty Spec trade value of 256. The current recommendation is Sell, driven by the risk signal is elevated: ai model spread is 80.
- Dynasty Rank
- #221
- Trade Value
- 256
Short-Term Outlook
Geno Smith's near-term profile is tied to NYJ usage at QB. The latest imported season shows 12.73 PPR points per game. Current movement is up 1 spots this week.
- Team
- NYJ
- Recent Movement
- Up 1 spots this week
Long-Term Outlook
Geno Smith's long-term value combines age 35, position scarcity, and AI consensus score 372. The long-term case is best judged against similar-value players because the current value is close to the broader market tier.
- Age
- 35
- Consensus Score
- 372
Contender Fit
Geno Smith is a contender fit when the acquisition cost stays near 256 and does not require moving a more stable weekly starter.
- 1QB Value
- 256
- Superflex Value
- 388
Rebuilder Fit
Geno Smith can fit rebuilders at fair cost, but the decision should be tied to timeline because the current profile is labeled Sell.
- Value Trend
- Volatile
- Position Rank
- #33
Trade Value Analysis
Geno Smith's fair-market baseline is 256 with Superflex value 388 and 1QB value 256. Use the trade calculator when a package adds picks or multiple players because consolidation changes the value gap.
- Trade Value
- 256
- Market Value
- 1,618
Risk Factors
Geno Smith's main risk factors: AI rank spread is 80.
- AI Spread
- 80
- Agreement
- High Disagreement
Upside Case
Geno Smith's upside case is that the high engine rank (#181) is closer to the truth than consensus #221, pushing the market toward the top of the current value tier.
- Best Engine Rank
- #181
- Consensus
- #221
Floor Case
Geno Smith's floor case is that the low engine rank (#261) catches a role, age, or liquidity risk that consensus is not fully pricing yet.
- Worst Engine Rank
- #261
- Trend
- Volatile
AI Engine Disagreement Summary
Geno Smith's AI engine range is 80 spots. Treat Geno Smith as a negotiation checkpoint: if your league prices the low engine outcome, explore buying; if it prices the high engine outcome, ask for a premium before holding through uncertainty.
- ChatGPT
- #221
- Gemini
- #261
- Claude
- #181
Ranking Trend History
Geno Smith is currently #221 after being #222 in the previous weekly snapshot. That is a 1-spot rise.
- Current Rank
- #221
- Previous Rank
- #222
- Value Change
- -3
Comparable Players
Related Trade Targets
Trade Calculator
Price Geno Smith before making an offer
Use Geno Smith's Dynasty Spec value, format setting, and package size before adding picks or changing tiers.
FAQs
What is Geno Smith's dynasty value?
Geno Smith carries a Dynasty Spec trade value of 256, with a Superflex value of 388 and a 1QB value of 256.
Should I trade for Geno Smith in dynasty?
Only at a discount; Dynasty Spec leans sell at current cost. The risk signal is elevated: AI model spread is 80.
Is Geno Smith a buy or sell?
Geno Smith is labeled Sell because the current profile combines up 1 spots this week, High Disagreement, and position rank #33.
What is Geno Smith worth in Superflex?
Geno Smith's Superflex value is 388. That places him at #221 overall and #33 among QBs in the Dynasty Spec board.
How does Geno Smith compare to similar players?
Geno Smith is closest in Dynasty Spec value to Tyler Huntley, who is also a QB with a trade value of 179. Use the comparison page for the side-by-side gap.