Dynasty Spec
DynastySpec
Market Pulse
Rookie BuzzRookie WR tiers are tightening after spring movement
Trade MarketFuture firsts are regaining leverage in rebuild trade talks
TE PremiumElite TE premium edges are widening when formats add 1.5 PPR
RB WindowVeteran RB sell windows are narrowing before role insulation fades
Injury ShiftDepth-chart fragility is creating short-term buy windows for contenders
Rookie BuzzRookie WR tiers are tightening after spring movement
Trade MarketFuture firsts are regaining leverage in rebuild trade talks
TE PremiumElite TE premium edges are widening when formats add 1.5 PPR
RB WindowVeteran RB sell windows are narrowing before role insulation fades
Injury ShiftDepth-chart fragility is creating short-term buy windows for contenders

KC QB

Dynasty Player Profile

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes is a KC QB (age 30) with Dynasty Spec rank #7 and QB rank #5. The AI consensus rank #14 with score 920, High Disagreement, and no rank change point to a volatile dynasty profile. Market-adjusted profile balances shorter dynasty runway, role security, and recent production signal.

Recommendation

Sell

The risk signal is elevated: AI model spread is 27.

Age
30
Dynasty Rank
#7
QB Rank
#5
Trade Value
829
Superflex Value
943
1QB Value
846
Consensus Score
920
Value Trend
Volatile

AI Engine Scores

ChatGPT Oracle

Rank
#4
Score
1,000
Tier
Elite

Dynasty Oracle v4: core asset; format-sensitive QB value backed by role security and production; contender 986, rebuild 662.

Gemini Apex

Rank
#31
Score
760
Tier
Core Asset

Apex Sovereign 12: core asset; format-sensitive QB value backed by role security and production; contender 828, rebuild 582. Apex Sovereign 12 simulates rational market value with liquidity, scarcity, age curve, and position-bleed controls; Core.

Grok Helix

Rank
#6
Score
1,000
Tier
Elite

Grok Helix v4.0 liquidity/volatility lens: core asset; format-sensitive QB value backed by role security and production; contender 986, rebuild 662.

Consensus rank #14 with High Disagreement and rank spread 27.

Outlook & Market Movement

Recent Movement
No rank change
Previous Rank
#42
Market Value
5,785

Patrick Mahomes's team context is KC at QB. Latest imported season: 2025, 296.66 PPR points and 21.19 fantasy points per game. Projection snapshot: 2026 257.89 projected PPR points.

Dynasty Authority Report

Dynasty Outlook, Trade Fit & Risk

Data-backed player notes from ranking value, AI engine spread, trade value, age, team, and recent movement.

Dynasty Outlook

Patrick Mahomes sits #7 overall and #5 at QB with a Dynasty Spec trade value of 829. The current recommendation is Sell, driven by the risk signal is elevated: ai model spread is 27.

Dynasty Rank
#7
Trade Value
829

Short-Term Outlook

Patrick Mahomes's near-term profile is tied to KC usage at QB. The latest imported season shows 21.19 PPR points per game. Current movement is no rank change.

Team
KC
Recent Movement
No rank change

Long-Term Outlook

Patrick Mahomes's long-term value combines age 30, position scarcity, and AI consensus score 920. The long-term case is best judged against similar-value players because the current value is close to the broader market tier.

Age
30
Consensus Score
920

Contender Fit

Patrick Mahomes is a contender fit when the acquisition cost stays near 829 and does not require moving a more stable weekly starter.

1QB Value
846
Superflex Value
943

Rebuilder Fit

Patrick Mahomes can fit rebuilders at fair cost, but the decision should be tied to timeline because the current profile is labeled Sell.

Value Trend
Volatile
Position Rank
#5

Trade Value Analysis

Patrick Mahomes's fair-market baseline is 829 with Superflex value 943 and 1QB value 846. Use the trade calculator when a package adds picks or multiple players because consolidation changes the value gap.

Trade Value
829
Market Value
5,785

Risk Factors

Patrick Mahomes's main risk factors: AI rank spread is 27.

AI Spread
27
Agreement
High Disagreement

Upside Case

Patrick Mahomes's upside case is that the high engine rank (#4) is closer to the truth than consensus #14, pushing the market toward the top of the current value tier.

Best Engine Rank
#4
Consensus
#14

Floor Case

Patrick Mahomes's floor case is that the low engine rank (#31) catches a role, age, or liquidity risk that consensus is not fully pricing yet.

Worst Engine Rank
#31
Trend
Volatile

AI Engine Disagreement Summary

Patrick Mahomes's AI engine range is 27 spots. Patrick Mahomes is a comparison-page candidate because the AI range is wide enough that a nearby player or pick can swing the trade.

ChatGPT
#4
Gemini
#31
Grok
#6

Ranking Trend History

Patrick Mahomes is currently #7 after being #42 in the prior imported rank field. Tracking begins after two ranking snapshots.

Current Rank
#7
Previous Rank
#42

Comparable Players

Related Trade Targets

Trade Calculator

Price Patrick Mahomes before making an offer

Use Patrick Mahomes's Dynasty Spec value, format setting, and package size before adding picks or changing tiers.

Open Calculator

FAQs

What is Patrick Mahomes's dynasty value?

Patrick Mahomes carries a Dynasty Spec trade value of 829, with a Superflex value of 943 and a 1QB value of 846.

Should I trade for Patrick Mahomes in dynasty?

Only at a discount; Dynasty Spec leans sell at current cost. The risk signal is elevated: AI model spread is 27.

Is Patrick Mahomes a buy or sell?

Patrick Mahomes is labeled Sell because the current profile combines no rank change, High Disagreement, and position rank #5.

What is Patrick Mahomes worth in Superflex?

Patrick Mahomes's Superflex value is 943. That places him at #7 overall and #5 among QBs in the Dynasty Spec board.

How does Patrick Mahomes compare to similar players?

Patrick Mahomes is closest in Dynasty Spec value to Deshaun Watson, who is also a QB with a trade value of 647. Use the comparison page for the side-by-side gap.